Monday, March 10, 2008

29 Weeks Pregnant And Stools Are Black

left senseless crime

- Win PP and PSOE, both in number of votes into seats (both win 5 more). A new step, then, to American-style bipartisanship.

- collapses IU (passed 5 to 2 seats), probably due to the mismanagement of Llamazares, without discarding of all the excuses he has presented it: the electoral law, the useful vote and bipartisan trend. In any case lost its parliamentary group, about what will happen to the Joint Group as any residual force.

- ERC collapses (from 8 to 3 seats). Do not forget that the excellent results he achieved in 2004 were due mainly to the fierce campaign Carod-Rovira suffered at that time by the right because of his meeting with ETA.

- Right Catalonia (CiU) won one seat (with a total of 11) and it probably rests on the PSOE during this term, given the good results that have given money to the "center."

- The PNV loses more than 100,000 voters and a seat, having been overtaken as largest party in Euskadi in favor of the PSOE, for the first time in its history. "It promises that a future conquest of the Basque territory PPSOE? More than one-independence is shaking with fear at the possibility.

- EA loses his seat and disappears Congress. It will be difficult to return to it.

- Canary Coalition lost a seat and gets 2.

- BNG Nafarroa Bai and manage to keep their seat each.

- New: Rosa Díez's party won seats, so unfortunately continue charging the public treasury.

- My personal choice has not reached the 300,000 votes and has declined compared to 2004.

- The inactivity of the state is more or less the same as 2004 but has increased in Euskal Herria Hego to reach eight points. The leftwing nationalist campaign in favor of abstention has taken effect, but only among regular voters. Would there have been more abstention in the absence of the ETA attack last day of campaigning? In any case not benefited.

The conclusions are obvious: out very detrimental to the multiparty system in favor of PP and PSOE. The shift to right center that will take both parties is evident. On the other hand, the parliamentary left collapses down to almost nothing, while there are new right-wing forces as UPyD.

Anyway, now more than ever have won as usual, while others have lost.


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