I think we can draw some conclusions about the latest attack by ETA:
1) ETA has carried out an attack easier and convenient: a person without an escort and in a town like Mondragon, where I suppose that the organization will have significant support. I conclude therefore that ETA wanted by all means do not fail on this occasion.
2) It seems clear that an attack carried out two days before the election is intended to influence them. The question is whether this will eventually influence and in which direction. For now, I fear that no such attack had been less participation (by that of "ETA wants to not vote, so voted all over the world" or by statements Carrasco's daughter calling for participation), for what gives paradox that the killing undermines the strategy of abstaining from the nationalist left. High participation also benefits the PSOE, with the risk that Zapatero reach an absolute majority and reach a clear conclusion: that the Basques stick up for the polls, because even the responses of ETA at the same benefit you.
3) Isaias Carrasco was not an elected official, but a former elected official. It appears that ETA opens a new front (another): the former elected officials. The next step will be to imagine that the rank and simple, and I think this step will prove to be targets of ETA even mere voters, thereby giving the reason that the manipulators Euskadi ensure that there is a fear vote. On the other hand, I think that ETA's supporters are more sympathetic to its stock when the murder in question is a member of the ESF or a politician who has anything to do with state repression. I guess one more will have been hand-to-head to see that this time the crime has been directed against a person who already had nothing to do with the apparatus of state repression (if they ever had something to do that is enough), so that social support ETA is today somewhat less than yesterday.
Conclusion: I believe that this murder was senseless even from the cold point of view of political tactics. This is what has let the military conduct policy analysis.
1) ETA has carried out an attack easier and convenient: a person without an escort and in a town like Mondragon, where I suppose that the organization will have significant support. I conclude therefore that ETA wanted by all means do not fail on this occasion.
2) It seems clear that an attack carried out two days before the election is intended to influence them. The question is whether this will eventually influence and in which direction. For now, I fear that no such attack had been less participation (by that of "ETA wants to not vote, so voted all over the world" or by statements Carrasco's daughter calling for participation), for what gives paradox that the killing undermines the strategy of abstaining from the nationalist left. High participation also benefits the PSOE, with the risk that Zapatero reach an absolute majority and reach a clear conclusion: that the Basques stick up for the polls, because even the responses of ETA at the same benefit you.
3) Isaias Carrasco was not an elected official, but a former elected official. It appears that ETA opens a new front (another): the former elected officials. The next step will be to imagine that the rank and simple, and I think this step will prove to be targets of ETA even mere voters, thereby giving the reason that the manipulators Euskadi ensure that there is a fear vote. On the other hand, I think that ETA's supporters are more sympathetic to its stock when the murder in question is a member of the ESF or a politician who has anything to do with state repression. I guess one more will have been hand-to-head to see that this time the crime has been directed against a person who already had nothing to do with the apparatus of state repression (if they ever had something to do that is enough), so that social support ETA is today somewhat less than yesterday.
Conclusion: I believe that this murder was senseless even from the cold point of view of political tactics. This is what has let the military conduct policy analysis.
0 comments:
Post a Comment